stngfever Posted April 26, 2017 Author Report Share Posted April 26, 2017 It seems to have gotten better as yesterday was showing Monday to be 80% with comments of thunderstorms developing, now says 60% chance of scattered. Final decision in a.m. (if it stays as is or continues in the dropping direction it'll be a go for this weekend). Keep doing the rain go away dances as it appears to be working! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doug_GT350 Posted April 26, 2017 Report Share Posted April 26, 2017 It seems to have gotten better as yesterday was showing Monday to be 80% with comments of thunderstorms developing, now says 60% chance of scattered. Final decision in a.m. (if it stays as is or continues in the dropping direction it'll be a go for this weekend). Keep doing the rain go away dances as it appears to be working! Boy I hope so, because I like you, I need to get away!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
07gt500conv Posted April 26, 2017 Report Share Posted April 26, 2017 :happy feet: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rumors Posted April 26, 2017 Report Share Posted April 26, 2017 I am betting we are going to be fine since it keeps dropping percentage wise. Just like Scott, Doug and Jeff (even though Jeff hasn't been posting we talk almost daily), I need the break away also. Been a long winter up here and I am ready for some fun in the car. 50% doesn't scare me after living here in Michigan for so many years. If a storm does develop it can miss within a mile or ten away Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doug_GT350 Posted April 26, 2017 Report Share Posted April 26, 2017 I got this from Wikipedia so it has to be correct... According to the U.S. National Weather Service (NWS), POP is the probability of exceedance that more than 0.01 inches (0.25 mm) of precipitation will fall in a single spot, averaged over the forecast area. This can be expressed mathematically: · C = the confidence that precipitation will occur somewhere in the forecast area. · A = the percent of the area that will receive measurable precipitation, if it occurs at all. For instance, if there is a 100% probability of rain covering one half of a city, and a 0% probability of rain on the other half of the city, the POP for the city would be 50%. A 50% chance of a rainstorm covering the entire city would also lead to a POP of 50%. The POP thus usually expresses a combination of degree of confidence and geographic coverage. Note that the POP measure is meaningless unless it is associated with a period of time. NWS forecasts commonly use POP defined over 12-hour periods (POP12), though 6-hour periods (POP6) and other measures are also published. A "daytime" POP12 means from 6 am to 6 pm. Now you should be totally confused, or at least 75% if you have some confidence in the internet..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stngfever Posted April 26, 2017 Author Report Share Posted April 26, 2017 Ummmmm, back to my scientific method of using weather.com Still showing 40% Scattered Thunderstorms on Sunday and 60% on Monday in Various part of our planned route. If this hold true or less by a.m., then we'll wing it and hope we're in the dry spots at the right time Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
07gt500conv Posted April 26, 2017 Report Share Posted April 26, 2017 So is this the official we are going or the official saying so is still tomorrow morning?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stngfever Posted April 26, 2017 Author Report Share Posted April 26, 2017 (edited) Previous commentary by me was just stating the conditions for tomorrow's go-no-go And some of our remote locations on Monday are back to showing 80% with rain developing into steady rain by afternoon, uggg A.M. will be official decision. Edited April 26, 2017 by stngfever Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andrewnagle1964 Posted April 26, 2017 Report Share Posted April 26, 2017 Rain or not going to miss it. Had to go out of the country on business. Good luck with the weather and BTW Avery County moonshine is the best. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grsybtch Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 Max Meadows, VA on Monday.......The rest of the weekend looks great! MON MAY 1 Thunderstorms 69°54° 80% SSW 16 mph 79% UV INDEX SUNRISE SUNSET MOONRISE MOONSET 4 of 10 6:28 am 8:12 pm 11:22 am 12:54 am Thunderstorms likely in the morning. Then the chance of scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 69F. Winds SSW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
07gt500conv Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 Max Meadows, VA on Monday.......The rest of the weekend looks great! MON MAY 1 Thunderstorms69°54° 80%SSW 16 mph 79% UV INDEX SUNRISE SUNSET MOONRISE MOONSET 4 of 106:28 am 8:12 pm 11:22 am 12:54 am Thunderstorms likely in the morning. Then the chance of scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. High 69F. Winds SSW at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80%. So now your a weatherman??? Thats right you work at the airport, they know everything Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grsybtch Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 (edited) Oops .....wrong days Got excited and thought the forecast had improved Edited April 27, 2017 by grsybtch Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grsybtch Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 So now your a weatherman??? Thats right you work at the airport, they know everything And if you don't like it, we'll beat the crap out of you!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
07gt500conv Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 And if you don't like it, we'll beat the crap out of you!! Bring it on!!! Can I bribe you with Beer to take it easy on me??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grsybtch Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 Bring it on!!! Can I bribe you with Beer to take it easy on me??? Oh Hell! Free beer will get you damned near anything!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stngfever Posted April 27, 2017 Author Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 (edited) Weather for this weekend has too much volatility (particularly for our Monday trek) as such, we're moving to the rain dates. Make sure you call the hotels to change or cancel your reservations before the cutoffs. This is the "official" no-go for this weekend! All dates moved one week out. Post up if you need to cancel out or move to rain date. Scott, Cliff, and Don are in for the rain dates. Edited April 27, 2017 by stngfever Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2007_Shelby_GT Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 Well, I've checked with my weather guru here, he is showing this Sunday and Monday as rain days - - in the areas we are headed towards. He did, however, indicate that the weather models are showing NEXT weekend as much dryer, (and cooler), after an expected strong front moves through on Thursday/Friday. Sam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rarecat Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 crap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grsybtch Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 Unfortunately, I'm out........can't make the rain dates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
07gt500conv Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 I'm still in for the rain dates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doug_GT350 Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 Unfortunately, I'm out........can't make the rain dates same goes for me.... damn... oh well maybe next year! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
07gt500conv Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 Vic is still in also!!!! :happy feet: :happy feet: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stngfever Posted April 27, 2017 Author Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 I would be up for a Friday afternoon departure for the Florida team. The only issue I have is that I am not sure I can make the 29th event date due to a family commitment. I am ok with the rain date.....go figure.... Still trying resolve family commitment without ending up in the dog house for life.... GT Now you don't have to end up in the dog house as we're onto the rain date? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2007_Shelby_GT Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 This happened before - Ces't la vie! Reservations changed, though I can't be absolutely positive that I can make it until mid-week! (Got to talk to the boss!) Sam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rumors Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 I am good for the rain dates as well as going in a day early to hit the Snake as discussed. Jeff cannot make the rain dates due to a conflict at work. Neither hotel has answered their phones yet. Those places crack me up. What a business. That's too bad Doug, Blake and grsy. Hopefully something can change on your parts and at least join us for even one day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ViperNC Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 Out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rumors Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 Reservations have been changed. WOOHO....ONLY TEN DAYS AWAY...................LOL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
07gt500conv Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 Reservations changed. Cliff they are not answering phone because they dont want YOU there!!!! No problem with changing my reservations..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doug_GT350 Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 I am good for the rain dates as well as going in a day early to hit the Snake as discussed. Jeff cannot make the rain dates due to a conflict at work. Neither hotel has answered their phones yet. Those places crack me up. What a business. That's too bad Doug, Blake and grsy. Hopefully something can change on your parts and at least join us for even one day. Thanks for the thought but a 8 to 9 hour trip one way is pushing it for one day. Just raise a glass for me when you sit down at night for some adult beverages. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rarecat Posted April 27, 2017 Report Share Posted April 27, 2017 (edited) Since I already have Monday and Tuesday off, I think I might just go to the beach instead...and take my cookies with me Edited April 27, 2017 by Rarecat Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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